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Thursday, Nov 27th

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Prairie2 is Bearish on Magic Beans

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Magiv beansInitial Unemployment Claims edged up slightly for the week, but are still near five year lows. Building contractors in some previously depressed areas are finding it impossible to keep up with the demand for new units. This is partly because of the unavailability of existing homes because underwater owners can't sell, and partly it's pent up demand that is being released by the improving economy.

All of a sudden we don't have an immediate debt crisis, at least according to some prominent Republicans in Congress. Basically they're admitting to having lied about the 'debt crisis', literally the day before the new talking points came out, because nothing has changed. A new Continuing Resolution has passed Congress that will take some things off the Sequester chopping block, it still requires the President's signature.

Sounds like Obama is a brand new friend to some Republican Congressmen who suddenly don't care about the 'debt crisis!!!', as long as their pet projects get funding. Would this be a good place to insert one of those 'Obama playing chess' metaphors?

The Federal Reserve has announced that they will continue to print 85 billion in new money to buy up mortgage bonds and US Treasury bonds every month for the indefinite future. Their current balance sheet stands at over 3.2 trillion. The stated reason for doing so is to keep interest rates low in order to stimulate the economy and create jobs. This is true as far as that statement goes, but the real reason is to counter the trillions in cash hoarding that billionaires have been doing offshore. If the Fed didn't put up the cash we would slip into a deflationary spiral that would convert the country in the 'paradise' that the libertarians claim they want. That is if you want to live in Somalia.

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